The latest Fox News poll (Jan 24th) shows Bernie Sanders gaining nineteen points against Hillary nationally among black voters. In the Fox News poll of January 4th, Hillary bested Sanders among black voters by 71-20. But on January 24th, Sanders had closed much of the gap and trailed by only 59-27.
As Hillary fights to fend off the unexpectedly strong challenge from Bernie Sanders, the African-American vote is key. Blacks cast one-quarter of the vote nationally in Democratic primaries and caucuses and are heavily concentrated in states — beginning in South Carolina — that must provide a firewall for Hillary if she is to recover from defeats in New Hampshire and/or Iowa.
Sanders had been stuck at 20% among black voters nationally in previous Fox News polls. In their surveys of November 16, December 16, and January 4, Sanders drew 20% of the African-American vote. Now, he has risen to 27% — a key development.
Sanders’ growth among blacks is likely a key reason for Hillary’s recent efforts to drape herself in Obama, attacking Sanders for wanting to start over on health care and saying she wants to “build on” Obama’s accomplishments.
But the data suggests that Bernie is punching through among African Americans. As his campaign gathers momentum over Hillary’s dependence on Wall Street for campaign money and personal income, he is attracting more African-Americans than he had previously.
If this trend continues among blacks, and accelerates following possible Sanders victories in Iowa and New Hampshire, Bernie could actually win.