It is becoming increasingly possible for there to be a tie in the Electoral College with each candidate winning 269 electoral votes. In that case, Trump would win since, in the House, the Republican Party controls 33 state delegations and each state has one vote regardless of how many Congressmen it has.
Here’s how it could happen:
The latest FoxNews.com poll, reported yesterday, show Trump’s lead among white high school educated men is approaching landslide proportions.
In the current poll, he leads Hillary among these voters by 41 points (61-20). One week ago, he led by 31 points (59-29) and two weeks ago, his lead was only 16 points (48-32).
Donald Trump, according to the latest polling, is ahead in states with 230 electoral votes and is tied in five states with a combined 54 more, giving him a potential haul of 284 votes — 14 more than he needs to win.
And that doesn’t count Florida where RealClearPolitics.com shows Hillary clinging to a 1.2 point lead.
According to the average of polls reported by RealClearPolitics.com, Donald Trump is running an average of 4.9 points ahead of Romney in the Rust Belt states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Ohio. This rust belt surge suggests that Trump may be running better among former Reagan Democrats than he is among traditional Republicans.
But, on the other hand, he is running 2.3 points behind Romney’s performance in the southern states of Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, and Georgia.
Was Huma Abedin hiding Hillary’s supposedly “missing laptop “in her apartment in order to keep it away from the FBI — not to protect Weiner, but to protect Hillary? Is the laptop that was seized in the FBI sweep of the Abedin/ Weiner apartment as part of the Weiner criminal probe the one that belonged to Hillary? A laptop that’s been missing for 2 years.
It sure seems like it.
Has the case of the missing laptop been solved?
(All data from RealClearPolitics.com)
This election is coming down to Colorado if the tracking polling is to be believed and Colorado is coming out for Trump! While the RealClearPolitics.com average shows Clinton 1.7% ahead, in Colorado, the most recent poll, from the University of Denver, has the race tied.
And the actual vote, so far is pro-Trump. The state has enacted all-mail voting for the first time and about 34% of eligible voters have already cast ballots. Here’s the breakout:
Pollsters are excellent at figuring out how people will vote but do a poor job of judging whether or not they will vote. The best they can do is ask how likely a person is to vote. Since most of the marginal voters don’t really know themselves what mood will strike them next Tuesday, their answers are not always a fair indicator of the truth.
So pollsters weight the results demographically to adjust for sampling error. That means they each assume a certain level of African-American turnout. But they can be wrong and the current indications from early voting in Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina indicate that they may be in error.
The dramatic developments in the FBI investigation of Hillary portend great trouble for her candidacy. The threats are numerous, on several different fronts, and each has the potential to be lethal.
Here’s what we know: The FBI has found 650,000 emails on Anthony Weiner and Huma Abedin’s home laptop and identified thousands — if not hundreds of thousands — with the addresses of @state.gov and @clintonmail.com. And, the FBI has been investigating the Clinton Foundation since February.
History will undoubtedly say that the Comey announcement that the FBI is reopening its investigation into Hillary’s emails that turned the 2016 race around and brought Hillary down. But that’s a false narrative. And to grasp what is happening, we must put it aside and concentrate on the real reasons Trump began to overtook Hillary in the week leading up to Comey’s announcement on Friday, October 28th.
Beware of Hillary’s collapse in the polls! It may be the very thing she needs to catalyze a gain.
Because both Trump and Clinton have very high negatives, this race is assuming a “see saw” pattern where one candidate’s success catalyzes a move toward his opponent.
When polls show Hillary ahead, people groan and focus on her scandals and wonder how this woman could be elected. But when they show Trump ahead, anxiety rises about what kind of president Donald would be and his worst quotes — often out of context — come back to haunt him.